When the lights go out

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When I was younger, I was a sort of  low-calorie version of a survivalist. Vaguely worried that Janet Reno, the Red Army, or possibly even aliens  might be coming, I bought a large gun safe and proceeded to fill it with a rather thrilling assortment of firepower. I raised my bed up on blocks  and stacked cans of survivalist chow underneath. I studied  and practiced wilderness survival techniques.  It was a harmless activity really, and not entirely unreasonable given the lurking San Andreas fault which to this day stands poised to wipe out Northern CA.  When the  Big One came, I rationalized, I would protect my  cans of Dinty Moore till they pried them from my cold dead hands.

That phase of my life concluded when I somehow managed to acquire a mate (of the female persuasion, no less).  She was OK with the arsenal (in fact she shoots better than I do), but not so sure about the other stuff.  I remember her reaction upon examining my survival food cache under the futon-- "Creamed corn? Seriously?" She shook her head.  "Bad survivalist."  It soon became apparent that having such a woman at my side was far better than being capable of briefly irritating the attacking US Government with the entire contents of my gun safe. Now, when the End Of The World As We Know It (EOTWAWKI) comes, I'll just sit back and let Sweetie handle it.  

Being a semi-reformed survivalist I may appear normal to most people, but I still get paranoid tingles once in a while.  And lately I've been thinking about GPS.

I noticed recently that both of my GPS devices, a Garmin GPSmap 60CS and Blackberry Curve, were displaying a circle of uncertainty around my position at normal map scales. Most of the time  I can rely on the GPS to accurately place me 2 meters from the third blonde on the left at the beer barge, should that unlikely need ever arise. But for some reason Both units seemed unsure if I was off the launch ramp, or sitting atop the marina store. It was no huge deal, I mean I probably wasn't going to lose track of the lake, but it was anomalous behavior from devices I had always trusted. Being a software nerd, I started thinking about this-- Obviously, something was going on with the constellation if both independent units were suffering from reduced resolution.  In minutes the old here-come-the-invaders reflexes, long dormant, re-energized and sent me into DEFCON II and a half.  Fortunately Sweetie stepped in just in time to slap some sense into me ("there are no black helicopters jamming your blinkie, idiot"), but the damage was done:  How much can we rely on GPS?

I assume anyone reading this knows generally how GPS works.  Many of you probably know in great geeky detail how it works. Some of you think GPS stands for Gerbil Positioning System, and it's all run by furry rodents from the Mothership behind the moon. Bless your hearts. Have you considered that the GPS constellation is getting rather long of tooth? I know that the system has worked pretty well (especially for a government program), but the orbiting Gerbil Containers are starting to suffer from squeaky hamster wheels after two decades in outer space.  It's not like they're replacing them routinely. One big solar flare, and all of a sudden we might find ourselves unable to locate the nearest Starbucks. Or the Shoals of Lingering Death.

And let's not forget that our blond-triangulating capability exists at the indulgence of our friends at the Department Of Defense, through a mechanism called Selective Availability. The gummint can, whenever it wants, flip a switch in some secret underground location and instantly cause thousands of powerboaters to crash at high speed into docks, shorelines, and each other. Okay, they are already doing that.  But it'll be even worse when their blinkies fail.

 Given the current global situation, Mr. Semi-Paranoid Survivalist Lite refuses to discount the possibility that the military  might have to enable Selective Availability at any time to prevent the technology from being used against us, for example if some whackaloon in Berzerkistan decides to fire off a cruise missile at Washington.

So, given that we could experience a general GPS degradation, or even a mass failure that befuddles millions of glowing dots on LCD displays, what should we be doing to make sure that we won't become hopelessly lost when our GPS suddenly bricks on us?

I'm probably in good shape. I don't think I'll get hopelessly lost on my lake (if I do, that'll make a great blog post). But a lot of you make epic SCA-worthy voyages, and actually sail out of sight of land sometimes. Have you thought about what you would do if your GPS suddenly becomes inert? When I eventually venture beyond my little lake, I figure I'll take my plotting tools, charts, and maybe even my plastic sextant, just in case. Perhaps I'll even try navigating the old fashioned way, and use the GPS for a backup only. Charts are easy to stow-- they flatten nicely under cases of creamed corn and gunpowder.

And when that cruise missile comes at me, I'll probably still be on course for the beer barge, instead of sailing around in circles like my GPS-dependent fellows.

What's your plan?

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written by ThistleCap, June 28, 2010
Your delusion was no worse than when we were taught we could survive an atomic attack by falling to the fetal position and putting our arms over our heads. I mean, how's that for being lied to. As to navigation, I view GPS as a nice aid to be viewed with suspicion and doubt. I've had three occasions when sat nav would have led me into disaster if my DR plot hadn't warned me that something wasn't right and that I should look further. And we have to admit the reality that the Pacific islands are strewn with what are now called GPS wrecks. I will admit that the stress of sailing down on a reef strewn coast with a GPS fix is less than doing the same after five days with no celestial fix, but all things being equal, I still believe religiously, devoutly, that celestial is more reliable than any electronic, mysterious gizmo. I insist that there's nothing more reliable than learning and practicing the old, but more importantly, the tried, true, and proven methods that rely on unfailing repeatability and reliability. If my plot doesn't make sense, I can go back and find out why. If I've been relying on electronics and they don't make sense, chances are I won't know it and have little chance to find out why. The best approach, of course, is to add electronics as an extra aid to cross reference other means of navigation, but to follow the habit of too many to rely entirely on electronic navigation is sheer folly, and nothing less.
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written by Charles Whipple, June 28, 2010
The very reason I have a good collection of charts, a Davis 25 sextant I know how to use, a good Richie compass, a handheld compass, dividers, chart board, binoculars, signal books, a VHS radio, a handheld VHS radio, a PBL that has saved my life once already (the company replaced the old one at no charge), 2B pencils, straight edges . . . have I left anything out?
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written by neil persadsingh, June 30, 2010
Dear Sir
I remember one mrning it was dark and very cold and we had gone fishing The bank we were looking for was about 12 miles from shore There are certain landmarks which have been used for centuries to find this particuilar bank At the bank the sea is only about 120 feet deep and all around it the depth finder reads about 800 feet But we had grown to rely on GPS and that morning we had two units on board which both indicated that we were on the bank However the depth finder kept indicating a depth of 800 feet So we went back to the marks on the mountains which are very high and found the bank using the time proved techniques of long ago
Later when we came in it was to discover that the Gulf war had started that morning and my surmise is that the satetilite system may have been deliberately downgraded at that particuilar time
Ever since I have been using a compass and a paper chart
So your suspicions are right don't ever rely alone on that GPS
Have you also noticed the warning on the box that came with your GPS to alwars have a back up navigation system
From
Capt Tuna
in Jamaica
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written by Wombat, July 03, 2010
Mate, you got the wrong blonde...creamed corn is brilliant survival food.

Cheers

Wombat
Australia...somewhere, if only my tin hat would stop buggering up my GPS I could tell you where....

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